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BTC Contracts | One-Click Trend Analysis Chart Mnemonic + Quick Check Table for Entry/Exit/Stop Loss (Use as-is)
1. Set the direction on the larger timeframe (first determine long or short, do not trade against the trend)
🔹 Bullish trend [Only go long, do not short]
1. Daily/4H: Price stays above the 20-day moving average
2. Trend: Higher lows, higher highs
3. Indicators: RSI > 50, MACD above zero line
4. Volume: Increasing volume on upward moves, decreasing volume on pullbacks
✅ Core idea: Buy on dips at support, do not chase highs, avoid shorting
🔹 Bearish trend [Only go short, do not bottom fish]
1. Daily/4H: Price breaks below the 20-day moving average
2. Trend: Lower highs, lower lows
3. Indicators: RSI < 50, MACD below zero line
4. Volume: Increasing volume on declines, decreasing volume on rebounds
✅ Core idea: Short on rebounds at resistance, do not bottom fish, do not trade against the trend
🔹 Range-bound market [Light positions + small leverage]
K-line repeatedly crossing moving averages, no new highs or lows
✅ Strategy: Buy at lower band, sell at upper band, quick in and out, do not add positions
2. Simplified Chart Reading Mnemonic (Instantly judge trend)
1. Break above 20-day line, buy on pullback, do not chase high
2. Break below 20-day line, short on rebound, do not bottom fish
3. Continuous new highs in an uptrend, continuous new lows in a downtrend
4. Support holds for long entries, resistance holds for short entries
5. Breakout with volume in trend direction, no volume rebound is a trap
6. Retail traders all long, will get crushed; all short, will be pushed up
7. Overbought conditions, do not chase longs; oversold, do not chase shorts
8. Use trend trades for swings, range trades for small profits
3. Precise Entry Signals (15-minute/5-minute for short-term)
🟢 Long Entry Signal
- 4H support + small timeframe bullish reversal candle / doji
- Pullback with decreasing volume, no further decline, quick recovery
- Breakthrough key resistance + volume increase, pullback does not break
- RSI dips to low levels and stabilizes, not overbought
🔴 Short Entry Signal
- 4H resistance + small timeframe rally then reversal, bearish candle
- Rebound with no volume, weak rally, long upper shadow
- Break below key support + volume increase, no rebound
- RSI reaches high levels and faces resistance, overbought and turning down
4. Unified Stop Loss + Take Profit Standards (Core for contract survival)
General Rules
- Risk-Reward Ratio ≥ 1:2 (lose 100U, must gain over 200U)
- Never hold against the trend, never add to losing positions, never lock in positions
Long (Bullish)
- Stop Loss: below key support, 80–150 points
- Take Profit 1: nearest first resistance (reduce half)
- Take Profit 2: break resistance and hold, target previous high
Short (Bearish)
- Stop Loss: above key resistance, 80–150 points
- Take Profit 1: nearest support (reduce half)
- Take Profit 2: break support and hold, target previous low
5. Leverage & Position Size Chart (Must-follow for beginners)
1. Uptrend market: leverage 5–10x, single position ≤10%
2. Wide-range range market: leverage 2–5x, single position ≤5%
3. Extreme spikes/news: leverage ≤3x, light positions or wait-and-see
Remember: Higher leverage means lower tolerance for errors, random spikes can lead to liquidation
6. Contract Additional Data for Judgment
1. Funding Rate
- Persistent positive rate: overbought longs, avoid chasing longs at high levels
- Persistent negative rate: crowded shorts, avoid chasing shorts at lows
2. Long/Short Position Ratio
- Longs > 65%: beware of whales washing longs and pushing down
- Shorts > 65%: beware of whales squeezing shorts and pushing prices up
3. Liquidation Data
- Large one-way liquidations indicate potential short-term reversals
7. Absolute No-Go Zones (Avoid big losses)
1. Large bearish trend with aggressive bottom fishing for longs
2. Large bullish trend guessing top and shorting against the trend
3. Full position, high leverage, frequent late-night trading
4. Not using stop loss, holding through losses, hoping for rebounds
5. Emotional trading based on news, chasing rallies and panicking sell-offs
Do you want me to prepare a one-page simplified operation flow (three steps to judge candlestick charts + direct order)? Do you follow these steps when analyzing the market daily?