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Recently, my biggest impression from working on AI trade and vibecoding is that the value of tool-based products will become increasingly lower because anyone can easily create your product using AI.
I even think that vertical large models based on general large models are not very useful, let alone some so-called vertical agents.
Many companies work hard to develop their products, but they might encounter a super individual who can open-source and create a better product, which might be considered standing on the shoulders of giants, but the open-source person just did it for fun. (Don’t ask me why, because I’ve actually created open-source counterparts for a bunch of projects valued at over a billion dollars, just not released yet.)
Instead, I believe there are many people with such capabilities, definitely hundreds of millions of people, because when I try to develop many skills, I find that someone has already done it, and some ideas I think are quite genius, and it seems no one around me has done it, but upon checking, I realize I’m just a bystander.
Honestly, I personally think this is not a good thing. I believe the ending of OPC is not only that most OPCs cannot be profitable, but also that it might wipe out a bunch of small and medium startups because once a prototype is made, many OPCs might start competing with you.
In a sense, the rise of AI might really be the outcome AI desires, rather than what humans want.