Amazon Stock Price Prediction 2025: Opportunities and Risks in the AI Investment Era

2025 AMZN Stock Price Forecast

CoinCodex projects that Amazon (AMZN) shares will trade between $216.35 and $251.69 in 2025. As of this report, AMZN is trading at approximately $221, positioning it at the lower-middle end of the forecasted range. This outlook reflects market optimism over Amazon’s revenue growth and AI investment initiatives, while also incorporating cautious views regarding macroeconomic trends and competition.

Amazon Delivers Strong Second-Quarter Results

In 2025’s second quarter, Amazon posted $167.7 billion in revenue, exceeding market estimates by 3.32%. Earnings per share came in at $1.68, exceeding expectations by 26.32%. Despite these strong results, investors responded with caution, causing the stock to decline by more than 7% at one point in after-hours trading. The primary driver was Amazon’s wide third-quarter operating income guidance of $15.5 billion to $20.5 billion, which highlights management’s cautious stance on near-term profit margins.

AWS Growth Slows; Infrastructure Faces Strain

AWS, Amazon’s primary profit engine, reported $30.9 billion in revenue this quarter—a 17% year-over-year increase. While this beat consensus expectations, AWS’s growth rate fell short of previous quarters and trailed behind Microsoft Azure (39%) and Google Cloud (32%).

• Gross margin compressed from 39.5% to 32.9%. This was mainly due to depreciation of AI infrastructure and currency headwinds.
• Supply limitations: Power and server shortages pushed order backlog to $195 billion. Although demand remains robust, Amazon will have difficulty fulfilling these orders in the near term.

AI Capital Expenditures Set for Record Levels

Amazon forecasts that its capital expenditures will exceed $100 billion in 2025 (compared to $83 billion in 2024), with the majority allocated to boosting AWS’s AI capabilities. This strategy strengthens Amazon’s long-term standing in cloud computing and AI. However, it may temporarily compress profitability.

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Summary

For long-term investors, Amazon remains attractive due to its potential in AI, e-commerce scale, and advertising monetization. In the near term, the stock price will likely consolidate within the $216–$252 range. A breakout will depend on accelerated AI services revenue and a recovery in AWS gross margin. Investors interested in the Amazon stock price prediction for 2025 should focus on several key indicators over the next 12–18 months: the pace of AWS infrastructure expansion and rollout of AI products, the impact of global economic trends on consumer and ad revenues, and changes in market share among major competitors.