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矿工每挖一枚BTC亏 $19,000
BTC 现价 $68,000,平均挖矿成本 $88,000。
每挖一枚,亏 $20,000。
挖矿难度下调了 7.8%,这是市场的自我修正——当矿工撑不住关机,算力下降,难度跟着降。但即便降了,成本还是远高于币价。
意味着什么?
矿工要么继续亏着挖赌反弹,要么关机止损。大量矿工会选择卖币维持运营,形成持续的抛压。这也是为什么底部往往伴随矿工投降——他们不是不看好,有可能是真撑不住了。
反过来看,挖矿难度下调本身也是一个底部信号。历史上每次难度大幅下调后,都意味着最弱的矿工已经出局,剩下的是成本更低、更能扛的选手。