In the voice message at three o'clock in the morning, her voice trembled heavily. "This is the last of the money," the background sound of a baby crying intermittently came through. I stared at the phone screen, remembering the first time I met her three months ago, the glaring number in her account balance: 2000U.
The rule I set for her is simple and brutal - divide the principal into twenty parts, and never touch the second part for a single order.
She was anxious at the time: "At this rate, how many years will it take?"
I only replied with eight characters: Don't think about winning

#美联储恢复降息进程 This fluctuation is really hard to understand. It was surging all day yesterday, and I thought the trend was established, but then in the evening, there was a plummet, dropping without any warning. This morning it started to rebound again, and the movement is just like yesterday; this kind of repeated pump and pull is the most torturous.
Currently, I only dare to test the waters with a small position and don’t dare to chase with a heavy position. This kind of volatile trend is either the main force repeatedly washing the盘 or the chip structure is too chaotic. Recently, I have also b

#美联储恢复降息进程 Do the three mainstream tokens have pullback pressure?
Watch if BNB can hold steady in the 835-845 range; if it breaks, 825, 815, and 805 might be the next support levels. For SOL, 128-131 is a key resistance, breaking below could test 122, and further down look at 114 and 108. LTC is relatively weaker, with clear resistance above 77-79, while 73 and 71 are points to pay attention to below, and 75 may have short-term support. $BTC trend also needs to be monitored.

#数字货币市场回调 The trader's schedule is completely disrupted: watching the BTC and ETH trends during the day, and at midnight still having to check the tweets of a certain big figure. Sometimes, when the market data hasn't moved, a single word from him makes the market explode.
Some people jokingly say that instead of waiting for the Federal Reserve's interest rate meeting, it’s better to catch his speech at three in the morning—after all, the impact on cryptocurrency prices is more intense.
This week feels a bit unstable, especially from the 2nd to the 5th, I have a feeling there will

Looking at the Candlestick Chart from 2017 gives a feeling of looking at old photos.
That year, XRP skyrocketed from $0.006 to $3.84, an increase of 7402%, following a textbook-level five-wave rise, peaking in January of the following year. Now, looking at the 2025 price chart, the familiar formula has returned— the first four waves have completed, and the fifth wave of the main upward trend has just started, with trading volume beginning to accumulate. Some analysts say that even the rhythm of the fluctuations is a pixel-level replica.
Depending on different scenarios, conservatively, it coul

#美SEC推动加密创新监管 Recently, the trend of DOGE is quite interesting. Let me share an idea.
If the price pulls back to the range of 0.13250-0.13450, you can consider placing a long position. However, remember to set a stop-loss — if it breaks 0.13200, you should exit, don’t hold on stubbornly.
Looking up, first focus on whether it can stabilize at 0.13700. If the support below is not broken, then 0.13950 is also a possibility.
Old rule: Don't go all in, the market's correlation is strong, sudden fluctuations can come at any time, staying calm is the most important. $DOGE

#ETH走势分析 Recently, this trend is quite interesting. I watched the hourly chart, and both the bulls and bears are repeatedly range-bound in the narrow range between 87000 and 86900, with neither side willing to give way first.
Now is a typical doji pattern, with buying and selling forces in a stalemate. In times like this, there's no need to rush; it's better to wait patiently for the direction to clarify. After all, the breakout on either side could lead to completely different follow-up scenarios.

$ETH $ASTER $DOGE
🔥 At 3 AM, the Federal Reserve suddenly injected $25 billion into the market through overnight repurchase agreements. This is the largest scale since 2021.
The timing is very delicate: QT has just wrapped up, and interest rate cuts are on the way, and it just so happens that this move comes at this moment. The liquidity gate is clearly not something that can be opened casually.
Where will this money go? Primary dealers will get cheap dollars and will definitely look for the highest-yielding assets. The entry for cryptocurrency ETFs is more accessible than ever — BlackRock ha

#数字货币市场回调 Today, let's talk about two commonly seen Candlestick reversal patterns in practice - penetration and dark-cloud cover. Mastering these can help you seize many turning points.
First, let's talk about the penetrating pattern. It generally appears at the end of a downtrend, with the key feature being that the bullish candlestick engulfs more than half of the previous bearish candlestick's body. At this point, the bulls begin to gain strength, and the market may turn upwards. Conversely, looking at the dark-cloud cover, it often appears in the later stages of an uptrend, wh

To be honest, Lorenzo used to feel like most of the DeFi projects on the market—showing daily yield screenshots, crazily hyping short-term returns, and drowning in the noise of "get rich overnight."
But what about now? The situation has completely changed.
Take an example: it's like a startup that originally relied on selling functional drinks to attract attention suddenly transforms and starts to seriously engage in small-scale investment management—only this time, it's operating on the blockchain. It's not as eye-catching, but precisely this pragmatic shift is what leads institut

#数字货币市场回调 The market has been shrouded in suffocating panic for the past month—over the last 30 days, the sentiment index has remained in the "fear" or "extreme fear" range for 29 days. This morning, Bitcoin dropped another 5%, and the index is still fixed at 23. Such extreme emotions often indicate that a turning point is about to arrive.
The current Ahr999 index is hovering around 0.55. Looking at the historical data, this range often nurtures medium to long-term allocation opportunities.
The drop yesterday had two obvious triggers: concerns over capital return due to expectations of an inte

#ETH巨鲸增持 last night tested the high point of 0.209 again. This wave of movement is intriguing — after going online, it has been continuously whipsawing, with no substantial favourable information support yet it keeps surging upwards? A typical dump rhythm.
Interestingly, the funding rate has turned negative, and the market's short-selling sentiment has become evident. Personally, I tend to wait for a rebound to find a suitable point to lay out short positions, as such trends often see quick pullbacks.
By the way, pay attention to $BAND and $UAI, their correlation has been quite strong rec

The 1.43 billion USD short positions bomb hanging over Ethereum has now started its countdown.
This round of plummet may not be the end, but rather a prelude to a reversal. Why do I say that?
First, let's look at the data: long positions have suffered heavy losses in this wave of decline, with a daily liquidation amount reaching 210 million USD. After the weak hands have been completely cleared out, the burden on the bulls has actually been lifted. What is truly worth paying attention to? It is the massive 1.43 billion short positions stop-loss orders around 2880—that's not a resistanc

In the past 24 hours, Bitcoin has fallen from 92000 to 83800, with the market evaporating directly by 140 billion USD and leverage liquidations nearing 1 billion USD. Meanwhile, spot gold is steadily above 2650 USD and continues to rise slightly.
Behind this lie three sharp knives:
The first cut - Japan's government bond yield was directly raised to 1.877%, reaching a 16-year high. The yen experienced a violent appreciation, and those yen arbitrage trades worth up to 3.4 trillion dollars began to collectively explode. Risk assets? Must be forcibly sold.
The second blow - After Thanksgiving

#美联储恢复降息进程 Did the adjustment of Japan's monetary policy trigger a chain reaction? Signals of market liquidity tightening are emerging, with $BTC suffering a single-day drop of over 5% yesterday, briefly breaking through the 86000 USD mark. $ETH is under pressure simultaneously.
Will this adjustment bring the price down to 80000? Here are three strategies for your reference: Don't set the leverage too high, as the current volatility is extreme; closely monitor the policy meetings at key time nodes, especially the movements from the Federal Reserve; if the pullback confirms stabiliza

#数字货币市场回调 During the period from the end of last year to November this year, the actions of professional players and hedge funds were very clear - to run.
They continue to sell Bitcoin and reduce their positions. Guess who is buying?
Retail investors. As soon as the price drops, they rush in to buy the dip, becoming the ultimate bag holders.
The institutions have actually been quite shrewd this time: they withdrew before the monetary policy tightened and sold at a high position; as for the retail investors? It's a typical mentality of buying more as prices drop. Every time the institution

Wow, is the Fed about to have an internal conflict?
The interest rate decision next week is expected to be a heated debate. Out of the 12 voting members, 5 have publicly opposed a rate cut, while another 3 insist that a cut is necessary. This situation clearly shows that no one can convince anyone else.
A friend who works in bonds said yesterday that if a 7:5 result comes out, that would be a disaster—it's impossible to predict the subsequent direction of the market, and it wouldn't be surprising if stocks, bonds, and currencies all face a triple hit.
In the past, these big shots at le

#数字货币市场回调 Last night's market once again showed a classic "deep V" trend—first creating panic dip, then quickly rebounding to recover. This wave of operation basically aligns with the previous prediction logic.
Today, let's focus on $ETH. The upgrade process is about to conclude, and this positive expectation has indeed supported a lot of selling pressure when the overall market was under pressure. However, now that the expectations are mostly digested, if ETH experiences a dip next, the risk exposure will be quite evident. I've noticed that many friends prefer to operate with ETH

The trend of PIPPIN is quite interesting; it actually pumped more than ten times when the overall market was weak. Many people are hesitant to chase it now, fearing that they will face a 90% pullback as soon as they enter the market — this mindset is understandable.
However, you see that its daily trading volume stabilizes at 1.8 billion USD, which means that under this liquidity, it's much easier for the main players to exit than for retail investors. Although we are now in the latter part of the market, such a volume-driven late market often still has some room to run.
If you want to eat

As long as we hold the line at 80,000 dollars, the bull run logic remains unchanged. Pullback? Normal operation, don't panic.