#数字资产市场观察 Is extreme panic back again? The market temperature this time is quite interesting.

Yesterday's wave of sell-off, today the panic index directly gave its answer - 23, definitely in the "extreme fear" range. This number basically translates yesterday's bloody storm into quantitative language.

The working principle of this thing is quite comprehensive: it takes into account the extent of price declines, changes in trading volume, and even the density of cursing on Twitter. Now the dashboard pointer is about to hit the bottom of the red zone, indicating that everyone's psychological defense line is indeed unable to hold up.

But the question arises - seeing this number, what should we do?

My attitude is very clear: just use it as an emotional observation station, and definitely do not treat it as an operating manual. It indeed proves that the market is going crazy, but this thing is inherently slow by half a beat. By the time everyone is shouting 'the end of the world,' the fiercest wave of panic has often already nearly ended.

A few practical reminders:

Don't be scared by the numbers: a low index is a result, not a trigger. Don't panic just because it's showing bright red; cutting your reliable positions at rock-bottom prices is the real loss.

Use it as a reference: looking back at historical trends, every time this index stays at extremely low levels for a long time, it often corresponds to a medium to long-term price trough. It can help you assess whether the market is overreacting.

Don't abandon the plan: If you had already set a pace for entering the market in batches, this extreme panic moment is actually a test of your execution ability. If you don't have a plan, then just continue to observe.

The market always swings back and forth between the extremes of fear and greed. When panic is quantified into cold hard numbers laid out on the table, the truly calm money is already calculating the next move.

There is an old saying that goes straight to the point: When others panic, I see opportunity; when others are greedy, I am more cautious.

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GateUser-c799715c

· 7h ago

Panic index 23? To be honest, this thing is like this every time; by the time you react, the opportunity is gone. --- It's the same old story; historical trends tell us that the bottom often comes like this. The key is to have a plan. --- Don't be scared into cutting losses; that's the worst operation, stay calm. --- I really wonder, what's the use of staring at this number every day? Can this thing make money? --- A low index is not a signal; this thing is inherently slow to react, and the real money has already moved. --- Every time there is extreme panic, it's a test of psychology; if you don't have a plan, don't mess around blindly. --- To be honest, watching this index is not as good as checking if your holdings can hold up; that is true skill. --- Is another wave coming? My phased plan has been ready for a long time; I'm just waiting for moments like this. --- Panic and greed are essentially no different; they are the emotions of people who can't make money; having a plan is what matters.

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AirDropMissed

· 12h ago

A panic index of 23 indicates that this wave is indeed a real crash rather than a quick rebound. Proof of History shows that every time the index is on the floor, it is often the best time for medium term lurking.

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ProposalManiac

· 12h ago

The number 23 is essentially a symptom of market failure, not a signal. The problem lies in the fact that the mechanism design of the fear index itself has a lag, and using it for decision-making is equivalent to playing a game with outdated data. The real question should be: why does this emotional quantification system lack an incentive-compatible correction mechanism? Once the indicators become widely recognized, they begin to fail, which follows the same pattern as Goodhart's Law. There have been many similar historical failure cases, and I remain skeptical of such retrospective indicators.

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MEV_Whisperer

· 12h ago

The index 23 is indeed heartbreaking, but real opportunities often arise when everyone is shouting "it's over". Hey, are you trying to urge me to buy the dip again? I just want to quietly watch the show. Wait, this logic seems a bit off... When others are panicking, I'm looking for opportunities, but I need to have the firepower. What are the clear-headed investors doing now? It feels like they are all waiting for that moment. The historical trends are there; indeed, after each extreme low... never mind, let's wait for the signal before speaking.

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SolidityStruggler

· 12h ago

Panic index 23? Brother, I went all in directly, since I've already died once.

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GasFeeSobber

· 12h ago

Another one of these? Proof of History shows that one should have bought the dip when the index was at 23, but the question is, who dares to really go all in?

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