#数字货币市场回调 Is this pullback a trap or an opportunity?
First look at the data before talking:
Over $4.5 million in long positions liquidated in a single day, and leverage has been largely cleaned out. Those who were panicking have already panicked, and those who needed to exit have left clean.
But interestingly, on-chain monitoring shows that there has been a continuous inflow of large funds during the price drop. This method of counter-trend accumulation is clearly not something retail investors are doing.
A more crucial point: even after experiencing this round of sharp decline, 56% of holders still choose to stick with their long positions. What does this indicate? The underlying confidence in the market is still there.
So how exactly do we do it?
The $820-$825 range can be considered for building a position, entering in batches. If it really drops to $810-$815? Then it would be an easy question, this position is worth adding to the position. But remember a rule of thumb: if it falls below $800, you must stop loss and exit the market, no illusions.
Short-term target at $850, medium-term aiming for $880.
The market is always about a few people making money from the majority. When everyone is in panic, it is often the window period for positioning. The question is not "dare to buy," but "will you buy."
The essence of trading is a probabilistic game, and we only take action when the odds are in our favor.
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ApeWithAPlan
· 12-04 18:18
It's clear that large funds are accumulating against the trend—someone is definitely positioning themselves, while retail investors are panicking at this point.
I agree that we should definitely avoid anything below 800.
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SelfStaking
· 12-02 10:54
Is the leverage liquidation of 4.5 million already cleaned up? The market makers are still in Accumulation, it's clear that they are in a go long rhythm.
Retail investors have all been washed out, now is really the time to lay out positions, not entering the 820 range is truly a loss.
56% are still holding onto long orders, the bottom signal is very clear, it just depends on who dares to catch the rebound.
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DegenApeSurfer
· 12-01 22:30
If it falls below 800 this time, just sell directly, there's no need to hesitate, stop loss is the biggest fren in trading.
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faded_wojak.eth
· 12-01 22:25
Large funds are accumulating, retail investors are cutting losses, this wave is truly a classic Be Played for Suckers script.
56% of long positions are still holding on, indicating that there are indeed people stabilizing the market at the bottom, but I still got cold feet and didn't dare to enter a position.
The price between 810 and 815 looks tempting, but I just can't make that money, watching the rebound helplessly.
I really won't touch anything below 800; I've noted this line down, and the stop loss discipline must be strictly enforced.
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FOMOmonster
· 12-01 22:14
What does it mean when large investors are accumulating? It means there is still hope.
If the price really reaches $810, we have to BTFD.
However, if it goes down to $800, I still have to run; losing money is worse than making money.
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TokenRationEater
· 12-01 22:14
Large Investors accumulating is so blatant, while retail investors are still struggling with whether to buy the dip, haha
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It's the same old story again, a fall is an opportunity, a rise is also an opportunity, why do I feel like they are all traps?
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4.5 million got liquidated, and now that it's all cleared out, it feels good, just waiting to see who dares to buy the dip at 850
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56% holdings didn’t run away? I believe you, the data looks good but you still have to manage risks yourself
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If $800 breaks, I’ll rug pull without hesitation, no matter if it goes to $1000 or $100
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I love hearing about this odds theory, but the problem is who knows what the probability is?
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On-chain large inflows, what does this indicate? It indicates that someone has information faster than us
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Teaching people how to trade again, it seems everyone has become suckers without tasting the flavor yet
View OriginalReply0
DegenWhisperer
· 12-01 22:11
Large amounts of funds are going against the trend to accumulate, it's clearly fishing, retail investors shouldn't just follow the crowd.
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56% of people are still holding on? I just want to know where this data comes from, is it reliable?
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Must run below $800, I agree with this, otherwise, you'll really lose everything.
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The statement is correct, but the key is to have the courage to act when everyone is panicking. I admit I don't have that mental toughness.
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It's again the question of "will you buy". In the end, it's still a gamble on human nature; if you bet wrong, you're finished.
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The on-chain large investors accumulating is worth more attention than any technical analysis; this is the real signal.
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I just want to ask, have you guys bought the dip this time, or are you just talking theory again?
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Setting a stop loss point at 800 is very scientific; at least it's a play with a bottom line, much better than a gambler's mentality.
View OriginalReply0
MeaninglessGwei
· 12-01 22:05
850 looks appealing, but I still think I should wait for it to fall to 810 before entering a position. After all, large amounts of capital are accumulating at the bottom, so there's no rush for a day or two.
#数字货币市场回调 Is this pullback a trap or an opportunity?
First look at the data before talking:
Over $4.5 million in long positions liquidated in a single day, and leverage has been largely cleaned out. Those who were panicking have already panicked, and those who needed to exit have left clean.
But interestingly, on-chain monitoring shows that there has been a continuous inflow of large funds during the price drop. This method of counter-trend accumulation is clearly not something retail investors are doing.
A more crucial point: even after experiencing this round of sharp decline, 56% of holders still choose to stick with their long positions. What does this indicate? The underlying confidence in the market is still there.
So how exactly do we do it?
The $820-$825 range can be considered for building a position, entering in batches.
If it really drops to $810-$815? Then it would be an easy question, this position is worth adding to the position.
But remember a rule of thumb: if it falls below $800, you must stop loss and exit the market, no illusions.
Short-term target at $850, medium-term aiming for $880.
The market is always about a few people making money from the majority. When everyone is in panic, it is often the window period for positioning. The question is not "dare to buy," but "will you buy."
The essence of trading is a probabilistic game, and we only take action when the odds are in our favor.