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Is Sirius XM Worth Your Money? Here's What You Need to Know

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The Business Model

Sirius XM operates like a utility rather than a growth stock. The company pulls in $6.6 billion annually from subscriptions—that’s 76% of total revenue—with drivers forking out $10-25/month for satellite radio. Ad revenue chips in another $1.8 billion (20%), while the rest comes from equipment and accessories.

That subscription-heavy model keeps cash flowing: Sirius XM generates over $1 billion in free cash flow yearly, which is solid. But there’s a catch—it’s trading at less than 7x forward earnings with a 5.3% dividend yield. Translation: this looks cheap on paper, but for a reason.

The Competition Problem

Two decades ago, Sirius XM dominated satellite radio. Today? It’s getting outpaced by Spotify and streaming services. The company still has 32.8 million subscribers (down from a peak of 34.9 million seven years ago), and revenue has declined for three consecutive years.

The churn rate sits at 1.6% monthly—historically normal—but the underlying trend is clear: smartphones and connected cars are cannibalizing satellite radio’s market share. This is a slow-motion fade, not a cliff drop, but it’s happening.

Why Berkshire Hathaway Is All-In

Here’s the plot twist: Warren Buffett’s Berkshire Hathaway now owns 37% of Sirius XM, adding shares since summer 2024. For a value investor, the appeal is obvious—cheap valuation, steady cash generation, and a dividend that actually pays something. But Buffett’s vote of confidence comes with an asterisk: even he’s not betting on growth.

The company carries substantial debt, and long-term viability concerns linger. Berkshire’s massive stake provides some comfort, but it’s essentially a value play on a declining asset.

The Bottom Line

Sirius XM isn’t a growth story—it’s a value trap masquerading as a dividend play. If you’re looking for a stable cash cow with downside protection from Berkshire’s involvement, fine. But if you’re chasing returns, the market’s bigger growth opportunities are elsewhere.

This page may contain third-party content, which is provided for information purposes only (not representations/warranties) and should not be considered as an endorsement of its views by Gate, nor as financial or professional advice. See Disclaimer for details.
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