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Don't remind me again today

#数字货币市场回升 this short order, looking back it actually has no suspense.



At the position of 0.047, the bullish sentiment had already reached its peak. The price was pushing up, but the trading volume was quietly shrinking—I've seen this kind of divergence too many times. It looks lively on the surface, but in reality, the big funds had already started to withdraw. Frequent turnover at high levels but insufficient volume is not a buildup before a breakout; it's smart money gradually unloading.

So I didn't follow the trend to go long.

What we are waiting for is the confirmation signal: continuous upper shadows, short-term top divergence formation, and the capital flow starting to reverse. Once these things appear, it's time to enter the short order. Many people at this point are still fantasizing about "another wave up", but the market never moves according to your wishes.

After opening a position, there have been several rebounds along the way. But if you look closely, you'll notice that each rebound fails to surpass the previous high, and the trading volume is weaker each time. This is a typical characteristic of a downtrend: rebounds do not surpass highs, and volume does not exceed previous levels. As long as you can hold on to this trend, the profits will basically come on their own.

Take profit near 0.025, not because of greed, but because the structure has run its course.

The decline has almost released, and there have been consecutive shrinking doji candles in the short cycle. If it continues down, it will enter the area of speculation. At this point, if you still don't exit, it won't be called following the trend, but rather betting on continuation. I've been trading for so many years, and there's a habit that hasn't changed: when it's time to win, hold steady; when it's time to withdraw, don't hesitate.

Many people like to ask: "Will it drop deeper?"

This kind of problem actually exposes a way of thinking - you are no longer making trading decisions, but rather placing expectations. Trading is not a wishing well; it is a game of probabilities.

To make this trade, there are three principles, to be honest:

Do not chase the rise with low volume at high positions.
Break through the position and follow the trend.
The goal has been reached, do not linger in battle.

The reasoning is simple, but not many can persist in doing it. Because most people are too easily led by their emotions—excited when the price rises, panicked when it falls, ultimately becoming an ATM for the market.

Those who can truly survive in the market for a long time are never the ones who shout orders every day and flaunt pictures everywhere. Rather, they are the ones who remain calm, focusing only on the structure rather than the commotion.

Losers stare at the fluctuations in panic,
Winners focus on the structure.
Losers wait for luck to come.
Wait for signal confirmation.

This order has ended. It doesn't matter when the next order will come - what matters is that I am still at the table.
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