There are several key data points to keep an eye on this week, directly related to the trends of the digital assets in your account.
First, let's talk about the logical chain: data contradicts expectations → Federal Reserve policy expectations are revised → dollar liquidity expectations change → global risk assets (including cryptocurrencies) valuation is reconstructed. It's that simple and straightforward.
What specifically to look at?
At 9 AM on Tuesday, Powell will speak at a memorial event, and at 11 PM, Federal Reserve Governor Bowman will testify in the House of Representatives. You need to listen carefully to what these two have to say—the dovish tone means that money will continue to be loose, which often benefits assets like Bitcoin; a hawkish stance, on the other hand, cools the market down and brings immediate short-term pressure.
At 9:15 PM on Wednesday, the US ADP employment data for November will be released. At 9:30 PM on Thursday, the number of initial unemployment claims for the week of November 29 will also be announced. These two are high-frequency labor market indicators that can tell you in real time whether the economy has resilience. Data too strong? The Federal Reserve may continue to maintain high interest rates, and market sentiment will need to be tempered. If the data shows obvious weakness? Expectations for interest rate cuts will immediately rise, and digital assets usually take the opportunity to soar.
Friday night at 11 o'clock is the most lively, with three data points clustered together: the year-on-year core PCE price index for September, the preliminary value of the one-year inflation rate for December, and the preliminary value of the Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index for December. Particularly the core PCE, which is the inflation indicator that the Federal Reserve monitors most closely. If the data is high, the script of "higher rates for longer" will be reinforced, and risk appetite will directly shrink; if the data meets or is below expectations, concerns about tightening will ease, and asset prices often stabilize or even rebound.
When it comes to practical operations, retail investors need to be more precise at this time: K-line patterns, macro information, and market sentiment should be integrated to adjust strategies. Position management and cycle layout must be more rigorous this week.
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There are several key data points to keep an eye on this week, directly related to the trends of the digital assets in your account.
First, let's talk about the logical chain: data contradicts expectations → Federal Reserve policy expectations are revised → dollar liquidity expectations change → global risk assets (including cryptocurrencies) valuation is reconstructed. It's that simple and straightforward.
What specifically to look at?
At 9 AM on Tuesday, Powell will speak at a memorial event, and at 11 PM, Federal Reserve Governor Bowman will testify in the House of Representatives. You need to listen carefully to what these two have to say—the dovish tone means that money will continue to be loose, which often benefits assets like Bitcoin; a hawkish stance, on the other hand, cools the market down and brings immediate short-term pressure.
At 9:15 PM on Wednesday, the US ADP employment data for November will be released. At 9:30 PM on Thursday, the number of initial unemployment claims for the week of November 29 will also be announced. These two are high-frequency labor market indicators that can tell you in real time whether the economy has resilience. Data too strong? The Federal Reserve may continue to maintain high interest rates, and market sentiment will need to be tempered. If the data shows obvious weakness? Expectations for interest rate cuts will immediately rise, and digital assets usually take the opportunity to soar.
Friday night at 11 o'clock is the most lively, with three data points clustered together: the year-on-year core PCE price index for September, the preliminary value of the one-year inflation rate for December, and the preliminary value of the Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index for December. Particularly the core PCE, which is the inflation indicator that the Federal Reserve monitors most closely. If the data is high, the script of "higher rates for longer" will be reinforced, and risk appetite will directly shrink; if the data meets or is below expectations, concerns about tightening will ease, and asset prices often stabilize or even rebound.
When it comes to practical operations, retail investors need to be more precise at this time: K-line patterns, macro information, and market sentiment should be integrated to adjust strategies. Position management and cycle layout must be more rigorous this week.