The probability of "the US government shutting down before October 1" on Polymarket has risen to 71%, with nearly $950,000 in betting funds.

Odaily News The prediction market platform Polymarket shows that the probability of the U.S. government shutting down before October 1 has risen to 71%, an increase of 17% compared to the previous week. The cumulative volume of the market is approaching $950,000. In related markets, the probability of a government shutdown for the entire year of 2025 is priced at 82%. Previous reports indicated that if the U.S. government shuts down, the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) Meeting will face a data gap.