The $BTC pre-halving rhythm has been weirdly consistent over the years:
1️⃣ Red: the classic euphoria blow-off into the top of the channel
2️⃣ Green: the midline “dead-cat bounce”
3️⃣ Neon green: the cycle bottom hugging the channel floor
What’s interesting this time is the structure — BTC has rejected the midline three times, yet it keeps printing higher lows right above the 0.382 zone.
That kind of pressure usually resolves one way.
If the pattern holds, the euphoric leg sits all the way up near $390K.

#BTC just hit resistance at the STH Realized Price -0.5 Standard Deviation level, sitting around $92,600. Bears will try everything to drag the price back toward the $80K zone, while bulls fight to hold above $92K.

How history keeps whispering…
The last two #FOMC rate cuts triggered sharp Bitcoin sell-offs the chart makes it obvious.
And here we are again, heading into another cut with price trying to recover from the recent drop.
The real question isn’t “what happened before”…
It’s whether this time the market decides to break the pattern.
Watching closely $BTC loves surprising people when they expect the repeat.

how history keeps whispering…
The last two FOMC rate cuts triggered sharp Bitcoin sell-offs — the chart makes it obvious.
And here we are again, heading into another cut with price trying to recover from the recent drop.
The real question isn’t “what happened before”…
It’s whether this time the market decides to break the pattern.
Watching closely — BTC loves surprising people when they expect the repeat.

$BTC December has begun.
This month has historically been pretty mixed but has seen some big outliers with a lot of volatility.
The past few years were relatively stale in that regard though.
Don't be surprised if you see some weird flows at the end and start of the year. Generally this is a period where large holders/funds and such rebalance their books. We might also see the effect of tax loss harvesting at some point.
Good to just be allocated in a way that feels comfortable for you. Whatever the end of 2025 and start of 2026 will bring.

Historically speaking, every red November is followed by a red December.
Will this time be different?

#Ethereum max pain price $3,400, $1.66 billion notional value, put/call ratio 0.50

TOTAL2 (Altcoin Market Cap)
Altcoins may finally be finding some relief, with TOTAL2 showing a clean bounce from its trendline support on the 2-week chart. 🔄
If this structure continues to hold, the broader altcoin market could make another move toward the $1.6–$1.7T resistance area. 🎯
That said, a breakdown below this level would likely shift momentum back in a bearish direction.

When $SOL cracks this level, it's good night to bears.
Hope you bought the dip.

On November 25, Bitcoin spot ETFs recorded total net inflows of $129 million, with Fidelity’s FBTC leading the day at $171 million in net inflows. Ethereum spot ETFs saw $78.58 million in total net inflows, marking a third consecutive day of positive flows. Solana spot ETFs logged $53.08 million in total net inflows.

There are notable #Bitcoin sell orders stacked above $90K, while solid buying interest appears in the $80K–$83K range.
With equities moving higher, $BTC may still make a move toward the $90K area since resistance above is relatively light.”

#DOGE #ETF Dogecoin's ETF launch failed to attract any inflows, highlighting troubling trends in the market.

Fear&Greed Index
‍#BTC
‍#ETH

‍$ETH ANALYSIS
ETH is currently revisiting the breakout area above the ascending triangle, suggesting that buyers are still supporting the structure after moving past resistance. Holding this level could indicate continued momentum.
If bullish interest remains, ETH may have room to move higher, with a potential move toward the $3,000 area becoming more plausible.

#XRP : The $2.00 mark continues to act as a key psychological level for Ripple holders.
Since the start of 2025, every revisit to $2 has been accompanied by weekly realized losses ranging from $0.5B to $1.2B.
This highlights how strongly this price point shapes investor spending tendencies.

#XRP Glassnode: The $2.00 mark continues to act as a key psychological level for Ripple holders.
Since the start of 2025, every revisit to $2 has been accompanied by weekly realized losses ranging from $0.5B to $1.2B.
This highlights how strongly this price point shapes investor spending tendencies.
$XRP

$BNB - possible bottom in . Will see how next few days unfold