The yen Arbitrage trading ( carry trade ) has recently become the focus of the market.
In simple terms, it means borrowing low-interest yen to buy high-yield assets—stocks, cryptocurrencies, high-yield bonds. When the Bank of Japan suddenly raises interest rates or there is market panic, this capital will crazily flow back to yen for safe-haven, triggering a tightening of global liquidity.
Do you remember the flash crash in August 2024? The Japanese yen suddenly appreciated, triggering a trillion-dollar scale of Arbitrage liquidations, causing Bitcoin and the Nasdaq to plummet across the board. This is not just an issue of a particular cryptocurrency or sector, but rather the entire pricing logic of risk assets has been shaken.
Recently, the Japanese yen exchange rate has begun to fluctuate again, the Federal Reserve's policy is shifting, and the Bank of Japan's stance is wobbly... these signals could trigger the next carry trade collapse.
There will be a sharing session at 9 PM tonight to deeply analyze this mechanism. Friends who are interested can come and discuss your views—when do you think the next arbitrage liquidation will occur?
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fren.eth
· 12-01 03:34
In August, I directly fell into a trap, it really was a trillion-dollar scale that could just be smashed.
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RektButStillHere
· 12-01 03:27
The wave in August really caught me off guard, money disappeared in an instant.
When the Bank of Japan moves, the entire market trembles three times.
I feel like carry trade is like a ticking time bomb, no one knows when it will blow up.
This time the yen is starting to stir again, I see it's precarious.
Next time to close position? I bet the Fed will have some surprises before the end of the year.
How do the pros view the sharing session?
In the end, arbitrage players were all trapped, it's laughable.
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SchrodingerWallet
· 12-01 03:22
In August, I was directly played people for suckers, and now seeing the yen is indeed a bit daunting.
The yen Arbitrage trading ( carry trade ) has recently become the focus of the market.
In simple terms, it means borrowing low-interest yen to buy high-yield assets—stocks, cryptocurrencies, high-yield bonds. When the Bank of Japan suddenly raises interest rates or there is market panic, this capital will crazily flow back to yen for safe-haven, triggering a tightening of global liquidity.
Do you remember the flash crash in August 2024? The Japanese yen suddenly appreciated, triggering a trillion-dollar scale of Arbitrage liquidations, causing Bitcoin and the Nasdaq to plummet across the board. This is not just an issue of a particular cryptocurrency or sector, but rather the entire pricing logic of risk assets has been shaken.
Recently, the Japanese yen exchange rate has begun to fluctuate again, the Federal Reserve's policy is shifting, and the Bank of Japan's stance is wobbly... these signals could trigger the next carry trade collapse.
There will be a sharing session at 9 PM tonight to deeply analyze this mechanism. Friends who are interested can come and discuss your views—when do you think the next arbitrage liquidation will occur?