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Arthur Hayes' $1.9 Million Altcoin Buying Spree: Has the Market Rhythm Changed?

Arthur Hayes, co-founder of BitMEX and a prominent crypto influencer, has sparked market speculation after accumulating over $1.9 million in altcoins like ENA, ETHFI, and PENDLE within the past 24 hours as of November 28, 2025. On-chain data reveals Hayes purchased 4.89 million ENA through OTC channels like FalconX, reversing an earlier sale of over 5 million ENA just 11 days ago. This aggressive repositioning signals strong short-term conviction in DeFi tokens, but broader market indicators suggest the overall rhythm has yet to shift decisively.

What Happened: Hayes’ Rapid Altcoin Accumulation

Hayes’ activity, tracked via Arkham Intelligence, shows consistent buying across DeFi protocols:

  • ENA (Ethena): 4.89 million tokens acquired for $1.9 million+.
  • ETHFI (ether.fi): Multiple buys totaling ~$500K.
  • PENDLE: Positions added for ~$300K.

The ENA purchases represent a quick turnaround, with Hayes selling 5 million+ tokens at higher prices before re-entering at current levels around $0.39. This contrarian move aligns with Hayes’ history of timing market bottoms, as seen in his 2024 calls on ETH at $2,000 and SOL at $100.

Market Sentiment: From Wait-and-See to FOMO, But Skepticism Lingers

Community reaction has shifted from cautious observation to FOMO (fear of missing out), with social media engagement spiking 40% on Hayes-related posts. Analysts praise his “contrarian edge,” noting ENA’s real-yield staking (10-15% APY) and ETHFI’s liquid restaking as undervalued in a liquidity-starved DeFi sector. However, 30% of discussions express wariness of “exploitative practices,” citing Hayes’ past BitMEX controversies and potential for pump-and-dump narratives.

Overall sentiment is neutral-to-bullish (55/45 split), with fund flows showing modest $200 million inflows to DeFi tokens last week—up from $100 million prior.

Trading Guide: Contrarian Opportunity or Trap?

Hayes’ ENA/ETHFI/PENDLE buys highlight DeFi’s rotation potential, but macro and technicals remain bearish. BTC dominance at 60% and $1.11 billion ETF outflows signal no structural altcoin shift. RSI on ENA shows oversold (32), but BTC pair at 0.0008 lacks breakout.

Bullish Case: Hayes’ timing often precedes rallies; DeFi yields (10-15% APY) attract liquidity if Fed eases (82.7% December cut odds).

Bearish Case: ENA’s daily trend is downtrending; BTC support at $90K untested; no rotation signals.

Risks: Low social volume and stagnant on-chain flows suggest limited momentum. Avoid leverage; macro liquidity delays could extend weakness.

Recommendation: Monitor ENA above $0.40 for confirmation; dip-buy ETHFI at $1.50 support. Stay spot-only—top professionals avoid contracts in unclear trends.

In summary, Arthur Hayes’ $1.9M altcoin spree in ENA/ETHFI/PENDLE signals DeFi conviction, shifting sentiment to FOMO, but bearish technicals and macro caution suggest no market rhythm change yet—favor spot buys over leverage.

ENA-6.25%
ETHFI-7.83%
PENDLE-7.19%
ETH-6.5%
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